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Climate and Weather: Information and Education

The Current State of ENSO

The figure below clearly tells about the dominated phase of ENSO during a three months period. In each three-month period one of ENSO phase dominates (bar which is longest) on other two phases. As for example, neutral is dominant over El Niño and La Niña phases during May-June-July (MJJ).

ENSO Forcast
 

Season La Niña Neutral El Niño
AMJ 201210%84%6%
MJJ 20127%74%19%
JJA 20126%65%29%
JAS 20127%55%38%
ASO 201211%48%41%
SON 201213%45%42%
OND 201213%44%43%
NDJ 201314%42%44%
DJF 201314%42%44%

--Made in May 2012--         More information at: IRI.Columbia.edu